Macro environment
Yield curves, corporate credit, labor market, and money supply from Federal Reserve Economic Data
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US Treasury Yield Curve
Current yield at each maturity vs 1 year ago
10-Year Treasury Yield
DGS10 — 10-year constant-maturity Treasury yield
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Current
2-Year Treasury Yield
DGS2 — 2-year constant-maturity Treasury yield
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Current
10Y-2Y Treasury Spread
T10Y2Y — 10-year minus 2-year constant-maturity Treasury yield
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Spread
High-Quality Corporate Bond Yield (10-Year)
HQMCB10YR — U.S. Treasury HQM 10-year corporate bond spot rate: yields on high-quality (A and up) corporate bonds, monthly. A yield, not a spread over Treasuries. No free high-yield series exists to show beside it.
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Yield
Bank C&I Loan Tightening Standards
DRTSCILM — Net % of banks tightening C&I loan standards for large and middle-market firms (Fed Senior Loan Officer Survey)
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Net %
Initial Jobless Claims
ICSA — Weekly new unemployment filings with 4-week moving average
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Weekly
Unemployment Rate
UNRATE — U-3 headline unemployment rate
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Rate
M2 Money Supply
M2SL — Broad money supply ($ trillions)
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$ Trillions
10-Year Breakeven Inflation
T10YIE — Market-implied inflation expectations
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Rate
BBK Leading Index
BBKMLEIX — Brave-Butters-Kelley leading index of real GDP growth, in standard deviations from trend. Above 0 = growth expected above trend.
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σ Units
Chicago Fed National Activity Index
CFNAI — Weighted average of 85 monthly indicators. Above 0 = above-trend growth.
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Index
Federal Reserve Total Assets
WALCL — Fed balance sheet ($ trillions). QE expands, QT contracts.
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$ Trillions
Chicago Fed NFCI
NFCI — National Financial Conditions Index. Positive = tighter than average conditions.
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Index
St. Louis Fed Financial Stress Index
STLFSI4 — Weekly. 0 = average stress; above 0 = above-average financial stress.
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Index
30-Year Mortgage Rate
MORTGAGE30US — Average 30-year fixed rate mortgage.
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Rate
FHFA House Price Index
HPIPONM226S — FHFA purchase-only house price index, US, seasonally adjusted, monthly (1991 Q1 = 100). Repeat sales of homes with Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac mortgages; not the Case-Shiller index.
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Index
Existing Home Sales
EXHOSLUSM495S — Existing home sales (millions, SAAR). FRED publishes only the latest 13 months of this series, so its chart spans about a year at every range setting.
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Millions
Building Permits
PERMIT — New building permits (thousands, SAAR). Leading housing indicator.
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Thousands